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prediction standard error

See Also: kriging

  1. [spatial statistics (use for geostatistics)] A value quantifying the uncertainty of a prediction; mathematically, the square-root of the prediction variance. (The prediction variance is the variation associated with the difference between the true and predicted value.) As a rule, 95 percent of the time the true value will lie within the predicted value plus or minus two times the prediction standard error if data is normally distributed. prediction standard error Illustration